YouGov/Sun - CON 36, LAB 34, LD 5, UKIP 14, GRN 6

Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 36%, LAB 34%, LDEM 5%, UKIP 14%, GRN 6%. The unusual three point lead Tory yesterday clearly wasn't a one off. I will urge all my usual caution, two polls in a row do not necessary make a trend. However, of the last seven YouGov polls they've now shown three Tory leads, three draws and one Labour lead so something may indeed be afoot.

As ever, keep watching the broader trend and see what the rest of the week brings. I can't see any obvious reason for a big shift in support over the last few days, so if there is a change, it's likely to be the slow drift in public support that's difficult to be certain about rather than an obvious step-change.