YouGov/Sun - CON 35, LAB 43, LDEM 9
Yesterday's daily YouGov poll for the Sun had topline figures of CON 35%, LAB 43%, LDEM 9%. Thus far there is no obvious effect upon voting intention from the riots... and that probably shouldn't surprise us that much. The reality is that most things don't have much effect on voting intentions, or at least, don't have effects that are noticable underneath the day-to-day random variation from sample error.
If, like myself, you are the sort of political anorak who pays great attention to the ebb and flow of politics there is a temptation to think that everything has far more impact than it really does. In this case the riots really were a huge news story that I have no doubt even people totally uninterested in politics were aware of... but it doesn't necessarily mean it has much impact on people's party political views. Whether it changes attitudes to things like policing, civil liberties, social deprivation, etc is a different question.
