YouGov/Sun - CON 35, LAB 43, LD 8, UKIP 8

Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 35%, LAB 43%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 8%, giving us the second poll this week with the Tories up to 35%. Last night we had an 11 point Labour lead, so the underlying Labour lead is clearly still around about the 9 or 10 mark,

but nevertheless, the Tory share is worth keeping an eye on.

There are also new YouGov figures for Welsh voting intention. Full figures with changes since April are

Welsh Westminster: CON 23%(nc), LAB 54%(+4), LDEM 4%(-3), PC 10%(-2) Welsh Assembly Constituency: CON 19%(nc), LAB 50%(+2), LDEM 7%(nc), PC 17%(-1) Welsh Assembly List: CON 11%(-2), LAB 35%(+2), LDEM 8%(-1), PC 20%(-2), UKIP 12%(+2)