YouGov/Sun - CON 35, LAB 38, LDEM 11, UKIP 10

The Sun politics team have tweeted out tonight's YouGov poll already, the topline figures are CON 35%, LAB 38%, LDEM 11%, UKIP 10%. This is the lowest Labour lead YouGov have shown for over a year, and the highest Conservative share since the end of the January. I'll just give my normal caveat for any poll showing unusual figures - sure, it could be the start of a further narrowing of Labour's lead, or it could just be normal variation within the margin of error. Don't get overexcited unless it's maintained in polls later this week.

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Latest General Election Projection: Knife Edge Coalitions

Local Elections Expectations Management