YouGov/Sun - CON 32, LAB 43, LD 11, UKIP 7

Tonight's YouGov figures are CON 32%, LAB 43%, LDEM 11%, Others 14% (inc UKIP on 7%). The 11 points for the Lib Dems is the highest YouGov have shown since April (though normal caveats apply, it is most likely a blip that will return to usual tomorrow).

The Guardian has part of their monthly ICM poll, but it looks as though they may be keeping back the voting intention figures for tomorrow, as so far they have only published the results of questions on the Rio summit. Like YouGov yesterday ICM asked a tracker question on public belief in man made climate change. ICM found 57% of people thought that man-made climate change was happening (up 1 point from 2009), 30% thought climate change was happening, but not due to man (down 3 points) and only 7% who thought that the world was not getting warming at all (up 2 points).