YouGov/Sun - CON 32, LAB 41, LD 10, UKIP 8

Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 32%, LAB 41%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 8%. The Lib Dems are back in third place, UKIP back in fourth. In practice, of course, the changes are probably just margin of error and until one of them sees their support rise or fall, I expect YouGov will show UKIP and the Lib Dems swapping back and forth for a while.

Also out today is a TNS BMRB poll of London. So far all I have seen is that it shows second preferences at Boris 53%, Ken 47%, the same split as YouGov and ComRes's most recent London polls. I will do a proper report tomorrow when I see the full first preference figures.

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