YouGov/Sun - CON 31, LAB 45, UKIP 8, LDEM 7

Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 31%, LAB 45%, UKIP 8%, LDEM 7%. The 14 point lead is the biggest Labour lead YouGov has ever shown since starting regular polling in 2002 (though other companies showed a lead of that size back in 2003).

While the size of the lead is notable, it's not entirely surprising. Since the local election results YouGov have been showing an average Labour lead of 12 points or so... hence a 14 point lead is just as much in line with that as the 10 point lead last Thursday was.

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Local Elections Expectations Management