YouGov/Sun - CON 31, LAB 45, LD 9, UKIP 7

Tonight's YouGov figures for the Sun are CON 31%, LAB 45%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 7%. Labour's lead is back up to fourteen points, although that's not necessarily any more meaningful than the unusually low eight point lead we had yesterday. As ever, be wary of big shifts in polls as more often than not they turn out to be just random sample error.

I also missed Ipsos MORI's regular Scottish monitor yesterday. That had voting intentions for the Scottish Parliament constituency vote of CON 12%(-1), LAB 32%(+9), LDEM 6%(-4), SNP 45%(-4). Changes are since January.

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