YouGov/Sun - 41/41/8

Tonight's YouGov poll has topline figures of CON 41%, LAB 41%, LDEM 8%. Last night's 7 point Labour lead looked like a bit of an outlier, and this one looks like the same in the other direction. It's the first poll not to show a Labour lead since mid-December, but my guess is that the underlying position is still a Labour lead of around about three points.

Later on tonight we have the Oldham East & Saddleworth by-election result, so feel free to discuss the result in the comments when it comes through - presumably in the early hours of the morning.

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