YouGov/Sun - 41/38/11

YouGov's daily figures this morning are CON 41%, LAB 38%, LD 11% - putting the Conservatives back in the lead (and, indeed, it would make YouGov the only company showing them in the lead). Given YouGov's polls have had the two main parties neck and neck for the last three days though, I expect the lead is just normal random variation around an underlying picture of Labour and Conservatives being level.

Before anyone asks, I'm not sure what the effect of the snow will be upon sampling - obviously people facing long commutes through tricky weather are going to be around proportionally less to complete polls, people who've taken the time off or worked from home will be around more (unless, for online polls, they fill them in at work!). I'd be cautious of any poll showing strange and wacky results during extreme weather, but this one is well within the margins of error of the polls for the last week.

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