YouGov/Sun - 39/41/10

Tonight's YouGov/Sun voting intention figures are CON 39%, LAB 41%, LDEM 10%. A two point lead is smaller than we've seen of late from the daily trackers, but I'll urge my usual caution about odd findings - it's still well within the margins of errors of YouGov's recent polls.

This is, of course, the first poll whose fieldwork was conducted wholly after the new GDP figures showed the economy shrinking, although much of it was before all the coverage and political arguments about the economy today. So far it clearly hasn't damaged government support, but there's plenty of time yet.

Note also that the Lib Dems are, once again, in double figures. It looks as though they've recovered slightly from mid-December when YouGov were consistently showing them at 8% or 9% - my guess it that it'll be because the issue of tuition fees has dropped down the political agenda.