YouGov/Sun - 39/40/12
I've been predicting for a while that we'd see some conference polls with Labour ahead, and bang on time tonight we have. The first voting intention poll with Ed Miliband as Lavour leader has topline figures of CON 39%, LAB 40%, LDEM 12%. It's YouGov's first poll with Labour in front since the election-that-never-was in 2007, and indeed the first time they've hit 40.
Conference polls are a strange and rather artifical thing of course, Labour might well do even better after Miliband's speech tomorrow, but I'd expect them to go back behind next week when the Conservatives enjoy their own conference boost. Nevertheless, it'll be a good boost to Labour morale and presumably Ed Miliband will be delighted to be back in the lead in the polls in his first poll as leader.
More to come later (or tomorrow morning) once the Sun publish the rest of the poll.