YouGov/Sun - 36/44/9

Apologies for the website troubles last night - hopefully all is now sorted. All many of you will have seen, the latest YouGov/Sun poll has voting intentions of CON 36%, LAB 44% and LDEM 9%. This is the highest Labour lead YouGov's daily polling has shown since the election.

I expect there will be some comments below about YouGov now telling a similar story as the MORI and Angus Reid polls we saw in January showing the Labour lead moving up into double figures. I'll only offer my normal caveat about any poll showing a big movement - it may just be margin of error, wait and see if it's confirmed. YouGov's daily polling has been running with an average Labour lead of 5 points for the last three weeks or so. This poll is no more at odds with that than the 2 point Labour lead we saw earlier in the week which subsequently turned out to be an outlier. This poll may very well be the start of a bigger drift towards Labour... or we may be back to a 5 point lead tomorrow.

It is the great strength of daily polling for those of you who I know don't appreciate it - if you get an outlier, you normally know about it the next day rather than the next month.

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