YouGov's Tory lead back into double points

Sky News are reporting YouGov's daily poll for the Sunday Times. The topline figures with changes from Friday's poll are CON 39%(nc), LAB 29%(-2), LDEM 20%(+1). It is YouGov's highest lead for the Conservatives since January and the poll immediately following the Hoon-Hewitt move against Brown.

I always urge a lot of caution when polls appear to move direction, but the last two YouGov polls have shown increasing Conservative leads, as have ICM in the week and Angus Reid tonight. After the Conservatives being on back foot for a month or two, the last week has not gone too well for Labour, so it feasible that things could have shifted back towards the Tories.

Assuming the election is still called on Tuesday (as I'm sure it still will be) I am sure we will have a glut over polling over the next week to confirm what the position is - in past general elections everyone seems to want to commission a poll to start the campaign.

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