YouGov shows Labour lead widening in Wales

ITV Wales have a new YouGov poll with Welsh voting intentions. Topline voting intention figures, with changes from January, are CON 29%(-3), LAB 37%(+2), LDEM 12%(-1), PC 14%(+1). This represents a swing of 6.6 since the last election, so while the Conservative position has narrowed since YouGov's last Welsh poll in January, it continues to show them doing a bit better in Wales than in the country as a whole.

On a uniform swing this would give the Conservatives 8 seats (gaining Carmarthen West, Brecon & Radnorshire, Vale of Glamorgan, Cardiff North and Aberconwy), Labour 24, Liberal Democrats 2 and Plaid Cymru 5 (gaining Ynys Mon, Arfon and Ceredigion).

Voting intention in a referendum for further law making powers for Wales now stands at YES 53%, NO 31%.