YouGov show Tory lead remaining at 13 points

I don't think the Telegraph actually published the topline voting intention figures from their monthly YouGov poll this month - I only noticed the Post Office and EU Presidency figures. Anyway, the full data is now up on YouGov's website.

The topline figures are CON 41%(+1), LAB 28%(+1), LDEM 16%(-3). No big change for Labour or the Conservatives, with the Lib Dems dropping to a very low 16%. This was not reflected in ICM's poll over the weekend and, unless we see any other polls showing sharp drops in Lib Dem support, I expect it'll turn out to be just a blip.

This is the first YouGov survey since the monthly economic figures which, rather surprisingly, did not show Britain emerging from recession. I was intrigued to see what the effect would be on the economic optimism figures - the answer is pretty much none. 22% expect things to get better over the next 12 months, 37% worse - virtually unchanged from the last two months.

In other questions YouGov asked about the postal strike. Blame for the strike is divided exactly down the middle - 25% blame the union, 25% blame the management, 44% blame them both. Asked about the future of the post office, 48% want to see it remain entirely publicly owned, 24% would like to see it part-privatised and 14% entirely privatised.

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