YouGov: Lowest Tory lead since April

A YouGov poll for Monday's Daily Mirror has topline figures - with changes from the last YouGov poll a week ago - of CON 42%(-1), LAB 34%(+1), LDEM 14%(nc).

The change from the previous poll is not in itself significant, but it is a further narrowing of the Tory lead and, as with ComRes, crosses that symbolic line into a single figure lead. The eight point lead is also the lowest that the Conservatives have registered with any pollster since back in April.

I don't have dates for the fieldwork, these figures are taken from the PA report, but I believe it was conducted at the same time as the BPIX poll: between Thursday and Saturday.

What would happen if the Prime Minister lost their seat?

Britain’s unwritten constitution assumes the incumbent Prime Minister gets the first chance to form a government. But what happens if that Prime Minister has been personally ejected by voters in their constituency?

Teens Think Happiness and Wellbeing More Important Than Money from a Job

According to a survey of 4,560 children aged 13 - 16, across England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland conducted by Survation for the BBC, teenagers think 'to feel good about what you do' was the most important thing about any future job. 'happiness' was second,

Latest General Election Projection: Knife Edge Coalitions

Our latest default model projection based on current national polling shows that if a general election was held today, Reform would be the biggest party on 226 seats, 100 seats short of a majority. To put Nigel Farage in Downing Street they would require a coalition with the Conservatives -

Local Elections Expectations Management

Writing in the New Statesman Ben Walker speculates that Labour could lose nearly 2,000 seats out of some 2,500 they are defending. This seems catastrophic for Labour and would see the Greens gain almost a 1,000 councillors with Reform expected to take another 1,000 from Labour

Read more

What would happen if the Prime Minister lost their seat?

Teens Think Happiness and Wellbeing More Important Than Money from a Job

Latest General Election Projection: Knife Edge Coalitions

Local Elections Expectations Management