YouGov has Tory lead back to 12 points

It's very early, but we already have the figures for tomorrow's YouGov/People poll, courtesy of their political editor Nigel Nelson's twitter feed. The topline figures, with changes from YouGov's last poll, are CON 40%(nc), LAB 28%(-3), LDEM 18%(+2).

While it shows a drop for Labour, this poll is very much a reverse from YouGov's last - the one straight after the Pre-Budget Report which rather oddly showed a negative reaction to the PBR, but Labour nevertheless gaining four points. This largely reverses that movement.

In tomorrow's papers I'm also expecting MORI's "latest" monthly poll, though it would actually have been conducted a week ago.