YouGov and Progressive Scottish polls

There are two Scottish polls in the Sunday papers, YouGov in the Scotland on Sunday and Progressive Scottish Opinion in the Mail on Sunday. Both show solid leads for the SNP in the constituency vote, and smaller SNP leads in the regional vote. Both also have the Green party in fourth place in the regional vote.

YouGov's poll has the SNP lead falling, but that may well be just normal sample variation (as always, I'd advise caution in reading too much into movement of a few percentage points in a single poll until it becomes part of a trend). With just four days to go and the polls during the campaign showing a generally robust SNP lead, it would be surprising now if the SNP didn't top the poll.

The YouGov topline figures with changes from 10 days ago are:

Holyrood constituency: CON 12%(+2), LAB 34%(+2), LDEM 7%(-1), SNP 42%(-3) Holyrood regional: CON 12%(nc), LAB 33%(+4), LDEM 6%(-1), SNP 35%(-4), Green 7%(nc)

The Progressive poll's topline figures with changes from a week ago are:

Holyrood constituency: CON 10%(+1), LAB 35%(-1), LDEM 6%(nc), SNP 45%(-1) Holyrood regional: CON 8%(-2), LAB 36%(-1), LDEM 5%(-4), SNP 41%(+3), Green 6%(+1)

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