Update on the Irish Lisbon referendum

This weekend has also produced two new polls for the Irish referendum on the Lisbon Treaty.

A poll from TNS mrbi for the Irish Times has referendum voting intentions of YES 48%, NO 33%, so a slight narrowing of the YES lead since their previous poll which showed 46% to 29%.

A second poll in the Sunday Business Post, this time from Red C, had figures of YES 55% and NO 27%, so that has the YES lead up one since the last Red C poll.

There's a week to go to the referendum. In last year's referendum at this stage TNS/mrbi were showing a 5 point lead for NO, Red C a 3 point lead for YES. The final result was a 7 point victory for NO. The polls would have to be a lot more wrong than they were last time (or public opinion would have to shift to a much greater extent in the final days) for this to be anything but a YES victory.