Some polls I overlooked

At the general election there were around 10 or 11 pollsters producing regular voting intention figures. Since then things have (as usual after an election period) been far quieter. YouGov, ICM and ComRes have continued their regular polls for their respective media clients. Ipsos MORI have continued there regular monthly monitor and Angus Reid have started up regular polling again. Other than that there have been a couple of sporadic BPIX and Harris polls and three Populus voting intention polls from Populus.

However, it looks like Opinium (who polled for the Express during the campaign) have been quietly slogging away with internal polls, and in December press released their polls since the election (hat tip to Eoin Clarke for spotting them).

I've added them to the archive of post-election voting intention polls. Their trends since the election are much the same as the other companies, though they have tended to show slightly larger Conservative leads at some points (in their last poll in December they still had the Conservatives one point ahead) and are showing a much higher level of support for "other" parties than other polling companies, a trend I've noted before in regard of the newer online polling companies.

What would happen if the Prime Minister lost their seat?

Britain’s unwritten constitution assumes the incumbent Prime Minister gets the first chance to form a government. But what happens if that Prime Minister has been personally ejected by voters in their constituency?

Teens Think Happiness and Wellbeing More Important Than Money from a Job

According to a survey of 4,560 children aged 13 - 16, across England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland conducted by Survation for the BBC, teenagers think 'to feel good about what you do' was the most important thing about any future job. 'happiness' was second,

Latest General Election Projection: Knife Edge Coalitions

Our latest default model projection based on current national polling shows that if a general election was held today, Reform would be the biggest party on 226 seats, 100 seats short of a majority. To put Nigel Farage in Downing Street they would require a coalition with the Conservatives -

Local Elections Expectations Management

Writing in the New Statesman Ben Walker speculates that Labour could lose nearly 2,000 seats out of some 2,500 they are defending. This seems catastrophic for Labour and would see the Greens gain almost a 1,000 councillors with Reform expected to take another 1,000 from Labour

Read more

What would happen if the Prime Minister lost their seat?

Teens Think Happiness and Wellbeing More Important Than Money from a Job

Latest General Election Projection: Knife Edge Coalitions

Local Elections Expectations Management