Scottish Ipsos MORI poll shows SNP ahead

There is a new MORI poll of Scottish voting intentions in the Times tomorrow (£) that shows the SNP ahead in Holyrood voting intentions. Full topline figures with changes from MORI's last Scottish poll in November are:

Holyrood constituency: CON 13%(nc), LAB 36%(-5), LDEM 10%(-1), SNP 37%(+6) Holyrood regional: CON 13%(+1), LAB 33%(-3), LDEM 10%(+1), SNP 35%(+3), Greens 6%.

These are something of a turnaround for the SNP - Scottish polling has been thin on the ground since the general election, but has until now been pretty consistent in showing Labour ahead. The Times article has seat projections based on these figures from John Curtice, which have the SNP with 51 seats, Labour with 48, the Conservatives with 14, the Lib Dems with 12 and the Greens with 4.

UPDATE: Full details are now available from MORI here. I have amended the Lib Dem figure for the regional voting intention, which is in fact 10%. By my estimate this changes the seat projection to SNP 50, LAB 47, CON 15, LDEM 12, GRN 4, IND 1.

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