Provisional Scottish boundaries

Today the Scottish Boundary Commission have published their provisional recommendations for the new Westminster boundaries, available on their website here. Scotland will lose 7 MPs as part of the reduction from 650 to 600 members of Parliament.

The FT have a rough and ready attempt at working out the impact here, currently just assuming party support is evenly distributed within each seat. On that basis, the Conservatives lose their seat, the Lib Dems lose 3 and Labour lose 3. Of course, as the FT themselves are the first to admit, that's a very crude analysis, but it will probably take me a while to crunch the figures for better notional projections, given the number of wards currently split between constituencies.