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Labour Doesn't Need the Greens
A cynic might wonder if Andy Burnham's tack to the left is designed primarily to lure back Green voters. If so it appears to be working. If Labour hold off Zack Polanski's bid for parliament at the Holborn and St Pancras by-election the strategy will be
First Pollster Reports Tories Pushing Reform Into Third Place
New polling from More in Common has Labour leading in the first poll of the Autumn, with the Conservatives displacing Reform by one percentage point. Which is the first time in 18 months that the Conservatives are ahead with this pollster. As Reform kick off party conference season they will
Data Modelling Now Has Tories Winning More Seats Than Reform
Despite polls since the Clacton by-election giving Reform an average lead over the Conservatives of 5 percentage points our default model now shows that on current polling the Conservatives would win 27 seats more than Reform. Labour would win 274 seats, more than double the trailing Tories. The heady days
The Burnham Bounce Has Arrived
More in Common are the first pollster to record a Labour lead in the Burnham era. Polling with fieldwork completed today sees Labour move ahead by 4 points which is the first lead recorded by them since March 2025 and their highest share since November 2024. Post-Makerfield Burnham's
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