There have been several polls this week showing both the Conservatives and Labour up at 35%, and given it's a zero sum game that suggests the other parties are getting squeezed. There is a general expectation of this sort of squeeze as the election approaches - the nature
There are two polls out tonight, both showing Labour and the Conservatives neck and neck on 35%. The first of ComRes's more frequent telephone polls for the Daily Mail, ramped up to a weekly timetable for the election campaign, has topline figures of CON 35%, LAB 35%, LDEM
In this post back in January I wrote about the partisan effects of the different methodologies the different polling companies used, of how some companies tend to show consistently higher or lower scores for different parties. Since then I've been meaning to do a reference post explaining those
I think we have just the three regular polls this Monday - Populus, Ashcroft and YouGov. ComRes this afternoon announced that their voting intention polls for the Daily Mail will be weekly for the rest of the campaign, but the first of those won't be until later in
On Friday we had YouGov and Populus polls taken after the budget. YouGov showed a slight movement to the Tories, putting them back ahead; Populus showed a shift to Labour. Neither was anything that couldn't just be normal random variation. Today we have three more polls too see
Here are this week's polls: Opinium/Observer (12/3) - CON 33%, LAB 35%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 14%, GRN 7% YouGov/S Times (13/3) - CON 34%, LAB 34%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 14%, GRN 5% ComRes/Indy on Sunday (13/3) - CON 33%, LAB 35%, LDEM
The rest of the the YouGov budget polling is now up on their website here. It suggests a broadly positive reaction to the budget and a significant jump in Osborne's own ratings. Overall 42% think the budget was fair, 27% unfair. Most people think it will make little
Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 35%, LAB 33%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 13%, GRN 6%. YouGov's fieldwork normally runs from around 5pm or so until around 3pm the next day, so all of this poll was conducted after the budget. The
Lord Ashcroft put out a new batch of constituency polls today, this time revisiting some Conservative -vs- Labour marginals that were very close the last time he polled them. The average swing across the seats polled is 4.4 from Con to Lab, the equivalent of a two point lead
The usual glut of polls for a Monday. Today we have the weekly Ashcroft poll, the twice weekly Populus poll, the monthly ICM poll and - later on - the daily YouGov. Ashcroft's weekly poll has topline figures of CON 31%, LAB 29%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 15%, GRN
YouGov's weekly Sunday Times poll is now up here. Topline voting intention are CON 34%, LAB 34%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 14%, GRN 5%. Most of the survey was made up of questions about the budget and government spending. If George Osborne has money to spend in the budget
I know of three polls in the Sunday papers tomorrow - the weekly YouGov/Sunday Times and Opinium/Observer polls and the monthly online ComRes poll for the Sunday Indy and Sunday Mirror. ComRes and Opinium are already out, YouGov usually turns up later and I'll update tomorrow.
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