Populus - CON 31, LAB 34, LD 9, UKIP 17, GRN 5

The rest of the the YouGov budget polling is now up on their website here. It suggests a broadly positive reaction to the budget and a significant jump in Osborne's own ratings. Overall 42% think the budget was fair, 27% unfair. Most people think it will make little difference to the country or to their own finances, but of those who do there more think it will have a positive impact than a negative one. 40% of people think Osborne is doing a good job as Chancellor (up 6 from before the budget) and his lead over Ed Balls on who would make the best Chancellor is up to 20 points.

Just because something is approved of though, it doesn't necessarily mean it has any effect on voting intention. The second of this week's Populus polls, also conducted entirely after the budget, has topline figures of CON 31%, LAB 34%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 17%, GRN 5%. No sign of a budget bounce there - but I'll repeat the same caveats I made after the YouGov poll last night. We could just be seeing random variation, and news events don't have an instant effect anyway - these two polls were after the budget, but many responses would have been before the media reaction (just because something has already happened, doesn't mean the respondent already knows about it). Wait and see if the broader average moves in the week ahead.