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This Sunday's polls

We have good four or five polls in the final Sunday papers before the election, here is what's appeared so far: Opinium in the Observer continue to show a very tight race, in this case with the Conservatives just ahead. Topline figures are CON 35%, LAB 34%, LDEM

By Anthony Wells 02 May 2015

Royal baby bounce?

There won't be one. Stop being silly. If you'd like a longer answer. The birth of Prince George had no discernible effect upon the polls, the Royal Wedding had no discernible effect. The Diamond Jubilee was followed by a couple of polls with a reduced Labour

By Anthony Wells 02 May 2015

Friday polling round up

So far we've had two new GB polls today, both continuing to show the race pretty much neck-and-neck: Populus's twice-weekly poll has topline figures of CON 33%, LAB 33%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 15%, GRN 4% (tabs). Note that Populus appear to have made a slight methodology

By Anthony Wells 01 May 2015

Latest Ipsos MORI and Panelbase polls

In what is presumably their penultimate general election poll (their final call poll is normally in the Standard on election day itself) Ipsos MORI have topline figures of CON 35%, LAB 30%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 10%, GRN 8%. It's quite a shift from their previous poll, which had

By Anthony Wells 30 Apr 2015

BMG, MORI Scotland, Ashcroft constituencies and ComRes marginals

Another busy day for polling. We have only one GB voting intention poll today, but from a brand new pollster (later on we'll have the regular daily poll from YouGov and the ComRes/Mail/ITV poll). However we also have a new Scottish poll from Ipsos MORI, three

By Anthony Wells 29 Apr 2015

Tuesday polling update

So far today we have had a new poll from TNS and a Scottish poll from Survation, with YouGov's daily poll for the Sun still to come. TNS's latest poll has topline GB voting intentions of CON 34%, LAB 33%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 15%, GRN 5%

By Anthony Wells 28 Apr 2015

A round up of Monday's polling

Ten days to go to the election and we've had interesting day of polls - four new GB polls, some new constituency polling and a new Scottish poll. The four GB polls today are the weekly Ashcroft and ICM telephone polls, the twice weekly Populus poll and, to

By Anthony Wells 27 Apr 2015
The static campaign

The static campaign

The defining feature of voting intention in this election is how little it has moved. The graph below shows the UK Polling Report polling average for each week so far of 2015. Things haven't been completely static - at the beginning of 2015 Labour did still have a

By Anthony Wells 26 Apr 2015

Latest YouGov, Opinium and Survation figures

There are three GB voting intention polls in tomorrow's papers - YouGov, Opinium and Survation. Topline figures for all three are below: YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 32%, LAB 34%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 14%, GRN 6% Opinium/Observer - CON 34%, LAB 33%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 13%, GRN

By Anthony Wells 25 Apr 2015

New Lord Ashcroft marginal polls

Lord Ashcroft has released a good selection of new constituency polls, covering some interesting constituencies. Full details are here. The least intersting is probably High Peak - a largely run of the mill Con -v- Lab marginal. Ashcroft previously polled it in February, finding a wafer thin one point Labour

By Anthony Wells 25 Apr 2015

Two weeks to go

A brief summary of this week's polls before I have some downtime: YouGov/Sun (17/4) - CON 34%, LAB 34%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 14%, GRN 5% Opinium/Observer (17/4) - CON 36%, LAB 32%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 13%, GRN 5% YouGov/S Times (18/4) -

By Anthony Wells 24 Apr 2015

Survation poll of Thanet South

As well as today's GB voting intention polls Survation have released a new poll of Thanet South commissioned by the UKIP donor Alan Bown. The poll shows Nigel Farage with a nine point lead over the Conservatives in second place, full topline figures are CON 30%, LAB 26%

By Anthony Wells 23 Apr 2015
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