Latest YouGov, Opinium and Survation figures

There are three GB voting intention polls in tomorrow's papers - YouGov, Opinium and Survation. Topline figures for all three are below:

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 32%, LAB 34%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 14%, GRN 6%
Opinium/Observer - CON 34%, LAB 33%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 13%, GRN 6% (tabs)
Survation/Mail on Sunday - CON 33%, LAB 30%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 18%, GRN 4% (tabs)

Labour Doesn't Need the Greens

A cynic might wonder if Andy Burnham's tack to the left is designed primarily to lure back Green voters. If so it appears to be working. If Labour hold off Zack Polanski's bid for parliament at the Holborn and St Pancras by-election the strategy will be

First Pollster Reports Tories Pushing Reform Into Third Place

New polling from More in Common has Labour leading in the first poll of the Autumn, with the Conservatives displacing Reform by one percentage point. Which is the first time in 18 months that the Conservatives are ahead with this pollster. As Reform kick off party conference season they will

Data Modelling Now Has Tories Winning More Seats Than Reform

Despite polls since the Clacton by-election giving Reform an average lead over the Conservatives of 5 percentage points our default model now shows that on current polling the Conservatives would win 27 seats more than Reform. Labour would win 274 seats, more than double the trailing Tories. The heady days

The Burnham Bounce Has Arrived

More in Common are the first pollster to record a Labour lead in the Burnham era. Polling with fieldwork completed today sees Labour move ahead by 4 points which is the first lead recorded by them since March 2025 and their highest share since November 2024. Post-Makerfield Burnham's

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Labour Doesn't Need the Greens

First Pollster Reports Tories Pushing Reform Into Third Place

Data Modelling Now Has Tories Winning More Seats Than Reform

The Burnham Bounce Has Arrived