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ICM - lecturers to reject pay deal?

An ICM poll for the Times Higher Educational Supplement (though no sign of it on the THES website) suggests that the industrial action by lecturers that appeared to have been settled last week may not be over after all. The pay offer of 13.1% over three years - the

By Anthony Wells 15 Jun 2006

MORI - Is Ming in trouble?

The full results of MORI's monthly poll are now up on their website. An interesting finding that was not reported in the Sun's coverage was that there has been a sharp drop in Menzies Campbell's approval ratings. Ming has had a rough time of

By Anthony Wells 08 Jun 2006
Swing Calculator

Swing Calculator

NB - this is an old pre-2010 swingometer. For the updated version please follow this link - http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/swing-calculator Below is a simple spreadsheet that lets you enter shares of the vote and transforms them into projected numbers of seats in the House of Commons. These are

By Anthony Wells 07 Jun 2006

UPDATED: Populus poll - Labour recovering?

The monthly Populus for the Times suggests that Labour may be starting to recover from their recent difficulties. The topline figures, with changes from Populus's poll last month conducted immediately after the local elections, are CON 37%(-1), LAB 34%(+4), LDEM 18%(-2). The poll contrasts with

By Anthony Wells 06 Jun 2006

Tory members reject Con-Lib Coalition

A poll of Conservative Party members by ConservativeHome ha found that the overwhelming majority of Conservative party members would baulk at the idea of a coalition in the event of a hung Parliament. 15% of respondents said they would support a Con/LD coalition, 3% said they would support a

By Anthony Wells 06 Jun 2006

MORI give the Conservatives a ten point lead

An Ipsos-MORI poll in Monday's Sun shows the Conservatives ten points ahead of Labour. The topline figures with changes from MORI's poll in the FT at the beginning of the month are CON 41%(+5), LAB 31%(-1), LDEM 18%(-3). The last poll I can

By Anthony Wells 04 Jun 2006

YouGov - Labour members want Prescott to stay

Despite the pressure upon John Prescott a new YouGov poll suggests that the majority of Labour party members continue to back him. In a poll of Labour party members 56% said they wanted Prescott to continue as Deputy Prime Minster until Tony Blair stepped down and 9% wanted him to

By Anthony Wells 04 Jun 2006

Voting Intention 1987-1992

By Anthony Wells 02 Jun 2006

NOP - a tight race in Blaenau Gwent

NOP has conducted a poll in Blaenau Gwent for the two forthcoming by-elections caused by the death of Peter Law. Law was the Labour Welsh Assembly member for the constituency until 2005, when he stood as an Independent at the General Election and took what had been one of Labour&

By Anthony Wells 01 Jun 2006

Is support for animal testing rising?

A YouGov poll for the Telegraph was interpreted as suggesting that support for animal testing is growing in response to the actions of animal rights extremists. The YouGov survey certainly found strong support for animal testing, but I'm not sure it suggests such a trend. YouGov found that

By Anthony Wells 30 May 2006

5% of people think the Da Vinci Code is true

The Da Vinci Code is - or at least, prior to some of the atrocious reviews it's received, was - supposed to be one of the year's big blockbuster films. The Catholic Church meanwhile has been making a big PR push to make sure people realise

By Anthony Wells 27 May 2006

YouGov - Tories maintain 6 point lead

YouGov's monthly poll shows the Conservatives maintaining their six point lead over Labour. The full topline figures with changes from YouGov's Telegraph poll taken straight after the reshuffle are CON 38%(+1), LAB 32%(+1), LDEM 16%(-1). The Conservative leads reported immediately after the local

By Anthony Wells 26 May 2006
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