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Why were the polls wrong in New Hampshire?

I don't regularly report US polls here - there are too many of them and large numbers of dedicated US sites that do it much better than I could, but the New Hampshire primary polls are worth a look: what went wrong? Since the Iowa caucases all the

By Anthony Wells 10 Jan 2008

Clegg effect boosts Lib Dems in first poll of 2008

The first poll of the year shows the Conservative gap narrowing, and a boost for the Liberal Democrats under their new leader. The Populus poll has topline figures, with changes from last month, of CON 37%(-3), LAB 33%(+1), LDEM 19%(+3). We had some contradictory polls last month,

By Anthony Wells 07 Jan 2008

New Year round-up: Liberal Democrats

So to the last of my three start of the year posts (sorry for those you wanted an SNP one, I really don't want to parade my ignorance of Scottish politics!). What do the polls say about the Lib Dems? Well, the brutal answer is not a lot.

By Anthony Wells 05 Jan 2008

New Year round up: The Conservatives

Looking at the Conservatives in 2007 I think there are two interesting questions, and one observation. To take the questions first, how much of the Tory progress is down to them, and how much have they just benefited from Labour's misfortune? Secondly, are they doing well enough to

By Anthony Wells 03 Jan 2008

Ken and Boris neck and neck

A YouGov poll for ITV news has Ken Livingstone and Boris Johnson practically neck and neck in voting intentions for the London mayoral contest - the full topline figures are Livingstone 45%, Johnson 44%, Paddick 7%, Other 4%. As with the poll for the London Policy Institute back in November,

By Anthony Wells 02 Jan 2008

New Year round-up: Labour

Happy new year! This is the first of three round up posts to begin the year, starting, appropriately enough, with how the Labour party performed in the 2007 polls. Looking back at 2007 the first half of the year was Tony Blair's long goodbye. Labour started the year

By Anthony Wells 02 Jan 2008

Labour recovering in YouGov Xmas poll

I didn't expect anymore polls this year, but the Sunday Times has a final YouGov poll that shows a recovery for Labour. The topline voting intention figures with changes from YouGov's previous poll are CON 40% (-3), LAB 35% (+4), LDEM 15% (-1). It suggests the

By Anthony Wells 30 Dec 2007

ComRes show 11 point Tory lead

In what is likely to be the last poll of the year, ComRes's December poll has topline figures of CON 41% (+1), LAB 30%(+3), LDEM 16% (-2). Like ICM it shows Labour recovering from their worst ratings last month, though as should be obvious, last month'

By Anthony Wells 24 Dec 2007

ICM show Labour recovering

ICM's (presumably) final poll of the year has topline figures, with changes from their last poll three weeks ago, of CON 39%(-2), LAB 34%(+4), LDEM 18%(-1), suggesting a significant recovery for Labour from the worst of their lows. Unlike in the YouGov poll yesterday, there

By Anthony Wells 22 Dec 2007

YouGov December poll

YouGov's monthly poll for the Telegraph, and presumably their last poll of the year, has topline figures with changes from last week of CON 43% (-2), LAB 31% (-1), LDEM 16% (+2). The Conservative lead seems steady, though they aren't quite up to the 45% they

By Anthony Wells 21 Dec 2007

YouGov give Tories a commanding lead

A YouGov poll in the Sunday Times has voting intentions with changes from their last poll of CON 45% (+2), LAB 32% (nc), LDEM 14% (nc). The 13 point Conservative lead is the largest YouGov have ever given them, and matches that recorded by ComRes (who tend to produce larger

By Anthony Wells 15 Dec 2007

New Populus and MORI polls

Hi - still offline most of the time, but here's a quick update on the two polls that are out today. Populus's December poll had topline figures of CON 40% (+4), LAB 32% (-5), LDEM 16% (nc). The poll was conducted between the 7th and 9th

By Anthony Wells 11 Dec 2007
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