Ken and Boris neck and neck

A YouGov poll for ITV news has Ken Livingstone and Boris Johnson practically neck and neck in voting intentions for the London mayoral contest - the full topline figures are Livingstone 45%, Johnson 44%, Paddick 7%, Other 4%. As with the poll for the London Policy Institute back in November, the level of support for other candidates seems absudly low compared to what happened at the last election when 18% voted for other parties, I'm sure that 4% will rise as the campaign progresses.

Obviously in such a race second preferences would come into play, but sadly there is no sign of them having been asked here - we can only conclude that the race looks very tight.

What would happen if the Prime Minister lost their seat?

Britain’s unwritten constitution assumes the incumbent Prime Minister gets the first chance to form a government. But what happens if that Prime Minister has been personally ejected by voters in their constituency?

Teens Think Happiness and Wellbeing More Important Than Money from a Job

According to a survey of 4,560 children aged 13 - 16, across England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland conducted by Survation for the BBC, teenagers think 'to feel good about what you do' was the most important thing about any future job. 'happiness' was second,

Latest General Election Projection: Knife Edge Coalitions

Our latest default model projection based on current national polling shows that if a general election was held today, Reform would be the biggest party on 226 seats, 100 seats short of a majority. To put Nigel Farage in Downing Street they would require a coalition with the Conservatives -

Local Elections Expectations Management

Writing in the New Statesman Ben Walker speculates that Labour could lose nearly 2,000 seats out of some 2,500 they are defending. This seems catastrophic for Labour and would see the Greens gain almost a 1,000 councillors with Reform expected to take another 1,000 from Labour

Read more

What would happen if the Prime Minister lost their seat?

Teens Think Happiness and Wellbeing More Important Than Money from a Job

Latest General Election Projection: Knife Edge Coalitions

Local Elections Expectations Management