The tables for ICM's poll in Crewe and Nantwich are now available on their website, and they reveal some brand new changes to ICM's methodology which I'll look at in the next post. First though, let's dig through the entrails of the
This Sunday's Observer has the first figures from PoliticsHome's Phi5000 - these are figures from daily questioning of a panel of 5000 respondents by YouGov, recruited from the YouGov panel. What this isn't is a normal YouGov poll, rather the Phi5000 is shamelessly prioritising
The Mail on Sunday has an ICM poll conducted in Crewe and Nantwich. Voting intention in the by-election is CON 43%, LAB 39%, LDEM 16%. This compares to the actual result at the last election of CON 33%, LAB 49%, LDEM 19%, and if repeated at the by-election would be
Today's YouGov poll was also reported as showing that any alternative Labour leader would perform even worse than Gordon Brown. YouGov gave respondents a list of other politicians and asked if people would be more or less likely to vote Labour in a general election if they were
A new YouGov poll for the Sun tomorrow has topline figures, with changes from their last poll, of CON 49%(+5), LAB 23%(-3), LDEM 17%(nc). This is the first poll conducted wholly after both the local election results and Boris Johnson's victory in London, though Populus&
Populus's monthly poll in the Times, with changes from their last poll (conducted for the Daily Mirror in the middle of last month), has voting intentions of CON 40%(nc), LAB 29%(-1), LDEM 19%(nc). The poll was conducted between the 2nd and 4th May (Friday to
During the last week or so of the London mayoral election campaign when my attention was elsewhere there were also a couple of Scottish opinion polls, so here's a catch up: Westminster election TNS System Three - CON 17%, LAB 39%, LDEM 10%, SNP 31% YouGov - CON
Fun over, here's the sensible grown-up look at how the final polls in the London race compared to the result. The final result and the final polls from each of the three pollsters who carried out regular polling in the race (ICM's single poll was very
I'm off to a wedding this afternoon so I'm not around to see the results of the London mayoral election (I'm going to be an even sadder version of those people who have to keep popping out of wedding receptions to check the football
YouGov's eve-of-poll figures for the London election - the only pollster to produce a true eve-of-poll effort with fieldwork within a few days of actual voting - has topline figures of JOHNSON 43%, LIVINGSTONE 36%, PADDICK 13%. Minor party support is split Green 2%, BNP 2%, UKIP 1%
Only one day to go till London and the local elections, but let's have a quick break to discuss Crewe and Nantwich, the by-election for which is to be called on the 22nd May. On paper Crewe and Nantwich is quite a distant target for the Conservatives. On
The Electoral Commission have released a study by NOP into how many people in London aren't actually registered to vote. NOP found 20% of people in London between 18 and 25 weren't registered and 27% of people between 25 and 34 weren't. In comparison,
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