The News of the World carries a second ICM poll on the Crewe and Nantwich by-election. Voting intention figures, with changes from the ICM/Mail on Sunday poll in Crewe and Nantwich last week, are CON 45%(+2), LAB 37%(-2), LDEM 14%(-2). Last week there was a very
A YouGov poll in the SUnday Times has topline voting intention figures, with changes from their last poll, of CON 45%(-4), LAB 25%(+2), LDEM 18%(+1). The poll was conducted between the 15th and 16th of May, so after the announcement of the increase in personal tax allowances
PoliticsHome have put up the Phi5000 results of their daily tracker on most important issues from the last month. I've commented on the way the economy is climbing up the list of important issues in Ipsos MORI's monthly polls, but these show it finally overtaking immigration
ICM's Crewe and Nantwich poll - which I look at here - also heralds two new changes to ICM's methodology, which will probably be rolling out across their other political polls for the Guardian and Sunday Telegraph. The first change is to to adjust their targets
The tables for ICM's poll in Crewe and Nantwich are now available on their website, and they reveal some brand new changes to ICM's methodology which I'll look at in the next post. First though, let's dig through the entrails of the
This Sunday's Observer has the first figures from PoliticsHome's Phi5000 - these are figures from daily questioning of a panel of 5000 respondents by YouGov, recruited from the YouGov panel. What this isn't is a normal YouGov poll, rather the Phi5000 is shamelessly prioritising
The Mail on Sunday has an ICM poll conducted in Crewe and Nantwich. Voting intention in the by-election is CON 43%, LAB 39%, LDEM 16%. This compares to the actual result at the last election of CON 33%, LAB 49%, LDEM 19%, and if repeated at the by-election would be
Today's YouGov poll was also reported as showing that any alternative Labour leader would perform even worse than Gordon Brown. YouGov gave respondents a list of other politicians and asked if people would be more or less likely to vote Labour in a general election if they were
A new YouGov poll for the Sun tomorrow has topline figures, with changes from their last poll, of CON 49%(+5), LAB 23%(-3), LDEM 17%(nc). This is the first poll conducted wholly after both the local election results and Boris Johnson's victory in London, though Populus&
Populus's monthly poll in the Times, with changes from their last poll (conducted for the Daily Mirror in the middle of last month), has voting intentions of CON 40%(nc), LAB 29%(-1), LDEM 19%(nc). The poll was conducted between the 2nd and 4th May (Friday to
During the last week or so of the London mayoral election campaign when my attention was elsewhere there were also a couple of Scottish opinion polls, so here's a catch up: Westminster election TNS System Three - CON 17%, LAB 39%, LDEM 10%, SNP 31% YouGov - CON
Fun over, here's the sensible grown-up look at how the final polls in the London race compared to the result. The final result and the final polls from each of the three pollsters who carried out regular polling in the race (ICM's single poll was very
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