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Why we should be wary of leadership polls

The full tables for ICM's poll on Sunday are now up on their website. Amongst other things ICM asked whether people would even recognise some of the potential leadership challengers if they saw them in the street. While 79% think they would recognise Jack Straw, only 54% would

By Anthony Wells 05 Aug 2008

Two Sunday Polls

There are two new polls in the Sunday papers. A new ICM poll in the Sunday Express has topline figures, with changes from ICM's last poll, of CON 45%(+2), LAB 29%(+1), LDEM 16%(-3). It was conducted betweeb the 30th July and 1st August. It'

By Anthony Wells 03 Aug 2008

Poll suggests Brown's rivals would be no improvement

A new YouGov poll for the Daily Telegraph has topline voting intention figures of CON 47%, LAB 25%, LDEM 16%. YouGov also asked a series of questions about how people would vote with different people as Labour leader. Of the potential alternatives to Brown, only Jack Straw did better than

By Anthony Wells 31 Jul 2008

Who would be Labour's most popular leader?

With the focus on Gordon Brown's teetering leadership, it was always inevitable that would start seeing hypothetical polls on how people would vote with David Milliband, Alan Johnson, Jack Straw, Uncle Tom Cobley and all as Labour leader. I expected it to turn up on Saturday, but according

By Anthony Wells 31 Jul 2008

From the ashes...

Something for fans of the constituency guide part of the site, some people will remember Robert Waller - the co-author of the Almanac of British Politics - did a series of programmes on 18 Doughty Street covering the various regional battlegrounds at the next election. 18DS is no more, but

By Anthony Wells 30 Jul 2008

First post-Glasgow poll

Populus have carried out an extra snap poll following the Glasgow East by-election, it was conducted between the 25th and 27th, so is the first with fieldwork conducted entirely after the by-election result. The topline voting intention figures are CON 43%(+2), LAB 27%(-1), LDEM 18%(+1), so a

By Anthony Wells 28 Jul 2008

More on Sunday's CrosbyTextor poll

CrosbyTextor have sent be the tables for the marginal poll in the Sunday Telegraph. The actual voting intention figures, with don't knows and won't votes excluded, is CON 49%, LAB 20%, LDEM 21%, Others 10% - representing a swing of 10.9% from the last general

By Anthony Wells 28 Jul 2008

YouGov - Cameron competent but lightweight

YouGov's monthly poll for the Telegraph has topline voting intention figures, with changes from the last YouGov poll, of CON 45%(-2), LAB 26%(+1), LDEM 17%(+1). There is also a slight improvement in Brown's ratings as PM and on the forced choice question, but

By Anthony Wells 28 Jul 2008

CrosbyTextor poll of marginal seats

There is a new poll by CrosbyTextor in the Sunday Telegraph, conducted in the top thirty Conservative target seats. I believe the poll was taken in the top thirty Conservative target seats using my notional boundary figures - the list is here. It matches the breakdown as given in the

By Anthony Wells 26 Jul 2008

22 point Tory lead from ComRes

ComRes's monthly poll for the Independent has topline voting intentions - with changes from their last poll - of CON 46%(+1), LAB 24%(nc), LDEM 18%(+2). The bigger picture of a Tory lead around 20 points is still unchanged, though for the record this is the

By Anthony Wells 26 Jul 2008

Glasgow East

I don't normally post on election results, I'm a bit of purist about it - as Danny Finkelstein posted more lengthily back before the local elections, local elections, by-elections and so on aren't representative so don't actually tell us much we don&

By Anthony Wells 25 Jul 2008

Ipsos MORI July Monitor

Ipsos-MORI's monthly political monitor is now on their website here. The topline voting intentions, with changes from last month, are CON 47%(+2), LAB 27%(-1), LDEM 15%(-1). The poll was conducted between the 18th and 20th July. The rest of the poll is the usual litany

By Anthony Wells 23 Jul 2008
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