More on Sunday's CrosbyTextor poll

CrosbyTextor have sent be the tables for the marginal poll in the Sunday Telegraph. The actual voting intention figures, with don't knows and won't votes excluded, is CON 49%, LAB 20%, LDEM 21%, Others 10% - representing a swing of 10.9% from the last general election.

It was carried out between the 16th and 29th June, when the national polls were showing Tory leads between 18 and 23 points, equating to swings between 10.5% and 12.5%. Without knowing things like what weighting was used we don't know exactly how comparable the figures are, but it certainly doesn't look as though the Conservative swing is any larger in the easiest marginals than in the county as a whole (and - in the present political circumstances - it doesn't need to be).