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The Known Unknowns

There was some speculation in the last couple of days about whether the Queen's Speech will shift the political terrain. We won't know until the next round of polls arrive, but I would be very surprised if they were the beginning of any significant change for

By Anthony Wells 18 Nov 2009

Ipsos MORI poll on the death penalty

We're overdue an Ipsos-MORI voting intention poll, which Mike Smithson has suggested may be published today. In the meantime there is a new poll on the death penalty up on their website here, commissioned by Channel 4 as a tie in with a drama last week. MORI gave

By Anthony Wells 17 Nov 2009

Labour increase in new ICM poll

ICM's monthly poll for the Guardian is now available here. The topline figures with changes from the previous ICM poll at the end of October are CON 42%(nc), LAB 29%(+4), LDEM 19%(-2). The Conservatives are unchanged but there is a significant boost for Labour at

By Anthony Wells 16 Nov 2009

Conservatives remain 14 points ahead

According to the Press Association (and Vincent Moss!) there is a new YouGov poll in the Sunday Times. The topline figures, with changes from YouGov's most recent poll just over a week ago, are CON 41%(nc), LAB 27%(nc), LDEM 18%(+1). Clearly there is no real

By Anthony Wells 14 Nov 2009

Would an AV referendum on election day save Labour?

The Guardian today has an interesting report about Tessa Jowell pushing for a referendum on electoral reform on election day, backed up with some polling findings from some private polling by the Electoral Reform Society. By the wonders of the BPC disclosure rules the actual polling is no longer secret,

By Anthony Wells 13 Nov 2009

Tory leads stays at just 10 from Populus

There is a new Populus poll in the Times. Topline voting intention, with changes since Populus's last poll, are CON 39%(-1), LAB 29%(-1), LDEM 18%(nc). It's another no change poll, but as I'm sure many will note, 10 points is a

By Anthony Wells 09 Nov 2009

The mystique of private polling

ConHome, Political Betting and now David Blackburn at CoffeeHouse have all picked up on a paragraph from Jackie Ashley's column this morning which says "Some Labour people may think I'm sounding too gloomy, but those who have been privy to recent private polling are a

By Anthony Wells 09 Nov 2009

SNP leading for Holyrood, but dropping for Westminster

Today's Herald has a new TNS-BMRB poll (TNS-BMRB are, I should add, the rebranded System Three, not some strange newcomers!) Westminister voting intentions with changes since the previous TNS-BMRB Westminster poll in April are CON 18%(-1), LAB 39%(+3), LDEM 12%(+3), SNP 25%(-7). There were

By Anthony Wells 09 Nov 2009

Open discussion thread

There's rather too many partisan comments cropping up in the comments threads, so I can I remind people to follow the comments policy please... except in this thread, where you are welcome to indulge yourselves in tiresome and pointless partisan rants and oneupmanship.

By Anthony Wells 07 Nov 2009

(Voodoo) voting intentions of GPs and NHS managers

There were two purported polls of medical professionals this week. A survey by Pulse, a magazine for GPs, surveyed 326 GPs on their voting intentions and found support standing at CON 52%, LAB 8%, LDEM 22%. Meanwhile a survey of NHS managers by the Health Service Journal found voting intentions

By Anthony Wells 07 Nov 2009

Angus Reid show 14 point Tory lead

PoliticalBetting has a new voting intention poll from AngusReid. Topline figures with changes from last month are CON 38%(-2), LAB 24%(+1), LDEM 20%(nc), Others 17%. The poll was finished yesterday - I don't have a start date, but their last poll took 2 days so

By Anthony Wells 06 Nov 2009

Sex education in schools

The Times's front page story today says sex education will be made compulsory for all schoolchildren, ending parents right to withdraw their children from sex education lessons after the age of 14. The Times says "The Government is pressing ahead despite its own research, which shows that

By Anthony Wells 06 Nov 2009
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