New YouGov poll

There is a new YouGov poll out for Channel 4. The topline figures, with changes from their previous poll, are CON 41%(nc), LAB 27%(-1), LDEM 17%(+1).

There is, clearly, no significant change from their previous poll conducted last week with all the parties within one percent of their previous level of support. The poll was conducted yesterday and today, so much of it would have been after the dropping of the Conservative pledge on a Lisbon referendum had become clear. Of course, much would have been before the media reaction and before people had properly reacted to the news, so it's far too early to conclude that it hasn't had an effect, but the early signs point in that direction.

The meat of the poll was the issue of Afghanistan. The two questions YouGov asked have been asked twice before, most recently a week and half ago. In the time since then the second round of the Afghan election has been cancelled and several British soldiers were killed by an Afghan policeman. In just that time attitudes have shifted significantly against the war.

Only 5% of people think British troops are winning, and 57% of people think victory is not even possible, up from 48% in the previous poll. 35% of people think british troops should be withdrawn immediately, and a further 38% within the next year or so. This compares to 25% and 37% a week and a half ago.