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New Scottish voting intention from MORI

Ipsos MORI have put up the tables for their poll in the Sunday Times at the weekend and it turns out we have some voting intention figures. Voting intention in Westminster, with changes from MORI's last Scottish voting intention poll in August, are CON 15%(-3), LAB 32%

By Anthony Wells 01 Dec 2009

Why the polls are narrowing

Let's start with what the polls are actually showing. The Conservatives level of support has fallen to around 39%. Of the ten polls this month, 7 have put them below forty, when every single poll in October had them at 40 or above, so it's pretty

By Anthony Wells 01 Dec 2009

ComRes too show Tory lead down to 10 points

It was supposed to be embargoed till 10 o'clock, but Andrew Grice's sneak preview of the poll gives it all away anyway! The topline figures with changes from ComRes's last poll are CON 37%(-2), LAB 27%(+2), LDEM 20%(+3). Others are at

By Anthony Wells 30 Nov 2009

Swiss Minaret vote

Over the weekend Switzerland voted in a referendum to ban Minarets (the spires on Mosques from which Muslims are called to prayer), the result of the vote was 57.5% in favour. Interestingly though the final poll before the referendum showed the opposite - voting intention in the referendum stood

By Anthony Wells 30 Nov 2009

Ipsos MORI on Scottish Independence

There is a new Scottish Ipsos MORI poll in the Sunday Times. The Sunday Times highlight that only 20% of people support full Scottish independence, though notably this was not a strauight YES/NO question asking voting intention in a referendum on Scottish independence. Rather it was a question asking

By Anthony Wells 29 Nov 2009

YouGov show Tory lead down, but doing well in Northern marginals

YouGov's monthly poll for the Telegraph is now out. The topline figures, with changes from YouGov's last poll, are CON 39%(-2), LAB 29%(+2), LDEM 19%(+1). A two point change in Conservative and Labour support is, of course, within the margin of error, but

By Anthony Wells 27 Nov 2009

YouGov shows Labour support rising in Scotland

The Telegraph has a new Scottish poll from YouGov. Looking at topline voting intentions first, Westminster support (with changes from way back in August) stand at CON 18%(-2), LAB 39%(+9), LDEM 12%(-6), SNP 24%(-2). As with the recent TNS-BMRB poll, it shows a real strengthening of

By Anthony Wells 24 Nov 2009

Angus Reid show the Tory lead at 17

After the six point lead from Ipsos MORI, we now have a 17 point lead from Angus Reid. The topline figures, as I mentioned in my brief post below, are CON 39%(+1), LAB 22%(-2), LDEM 21%(+1). Others are unchanged on 18%. The poll was conducted over the

By Anthony Wells 23 Nov 2009

And at the other extreme

Mike Smithson has the latest Angus Reid poll for PoliticalBetting, conducted over the weekend just gone. The topline figures are CON 39%(+1) LAB 22%(-2) LDEM 21%(+1). I'm on the way to a meeting, and will post properly on my return - in the meantime feel

By Anthony Wells 23 Nov 2009

Labour's private polling update!

Just to illustrate a post I made a fortnight or so ago. At the time Jackie Ashley was assuring us that Labour's private polling "suggests that Labour could return to the Commons with just 120 MPs or thereabouts, taking the party back to 1930s territory." To

By Anthony Wells 23 Nov 2009

More on Ipsos MORI's 6 point lead

The tables for Ipsos MORI's poll are now up on their website, so we can dig about and see what's actually happened. Regular readers will know that the big difference between MORI and other pollsters is that MORI do not politically weight their sample. All the

By Anthony Wells 22 Nov 2009

Ipsos MORI show smallest Tory lead since 2008

There is a new(ish) Ipsos MORI poll in the Observer. The topline figures, with changes from MORI's previous poll in mid-October, are CON 37%(-6), LAB 31%(+5), LDEM 17%(-2). The poll was actually conducted last weekend at the same time as ICM's Guardian

By Anthony Wells 21 Nov 2009
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