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New ComRes poll shows 38/29/19

After the wild moves in Ipsos MORI's last two polls, which showed the Tory lead tightening to 6 points and then spiking back to 17, we've almost the mirror image from ComRes. Their last poll showed a 17 point, and tomorrow they have a new poll

By Anthony Wells 21 Dec 2009

New ComRes poll shows 9 point lead

There is a new ComRes poll in tomorrow's Indy. The full poll is embargoed until 10 o'clock, but the Indy's Political Editor Andrew Grice has already blogged that the Conservative lead is down to 9 points. I'll put up a full post

By Anthony Wells 21 Dec 2009

More on Ipsos MORI's poll

The full tables for MORI's poll are now available here. A notable finding there is that economic optimism has significantly dipped since the PBR, down from plus 10 last month to minus 4 now. I think this is the first poll on economic optimism since the PBR, but

By Anthony Wells 20 Dec 2009

After much speculation, MORI show a 17 point Tory lead

After an amusing mountain of speculation, including vast amounts of twittering about the Conservative lead being down to 3 points according to "reliable sources", Ipsos MORI's monthly poll has finally turned up in the Observer. The topline figures are CON 43%(+6), LAB 26%(-5), LDEM

By Anthony Wells 19 Dec 2009

YouGov has Tory lead back to 12 points

It's very early, but we already have the figures for tomorrow's YouGov/People poll, courtesy of their political editor Nigel Nelson's twitter feed. The topline figures, with changes from YouGov's last poll, are CON 40%(nc), LAB 28%(-3), LDEM 18%(+2)

By Anthony Wells 19 Dec 2009

New Angus Reid poll

Political Betting have a new poll by Angus Reid. The topline figures, with changes from their last poll, are CON 40%(nc), LAB 24%(+1), LDEM 20%(+1). Others are at 15%, down 3. Overall there is no significant change from their previous poll. The Conservative lead is, needless to

By Anthony Wells 18 Dec 2009

Is bashing the bankers risking the New Labour image?

Interesting discussion between Don Paskini at LibCon, and John Rentoul (here, and responding to Don here). John wrote that Labour's decision to tax bankers bonuses was a further nail in the coffin of New Labour and their hard won reputation for economic competence, and that it would lose

By Anthony Wells 15 Dec 2009

ICM too show the lead narrowing

ICM's monthly poll for the Guardian is out. The topline figures, with changes from ICM's previous poll at the beginning of the month, are CON 40%(nc), LAB 31%(+2), LDEM 18%(-1). Others are on 11%. After conflicting polls from YouGov and ComRes over the

By Anthony Wells 14 Dec 2009

More from YouGov's Sunday Times poll

The full tables for YouGov's Sunday Times poll are now available here. While the poll shows a solid four point increase in Labour's support, at the expense of the Liberal Democrats and others, the questions on the PBR doesn't show it going down particularly

By Anthony Wells 14 Dec 2009

Contrasting figures in Sunday's polls

Yesterday I said I hoped we would get some voting intention polls that would help us judge how the PBR had actually gone down. Today we have no fewer than 3 new voting intention polls, but are none the wiser as to what effect the PBR had on Labour support

By Anthony Wells 13 Dec 2009

Tonight's poll(s)

I'm expecting at least one new poll tonight (from ComRes in the Sunday Indy), and with luck there will be others too. Feel free to use this thread to discuss them.

By Anthony Wells 12 Dec 2009

Populus snap PBR poll

I've been busy today, so have only just had time to catch up with the Populus snap poll of 500 on the PBR in this morning's Times. Almost all of the individual measures in the PBR received strong support - 78% supported the bankers bonus tax,

By Anthony Wells 11 Dec 2009
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