The Green Party have just released an ICM poll of Brighton Pavilion that shows them leading the Conservatives by 8 points in the seat with Labour in third place. Clearly the Greens have commissioned it for their own purposes, and one should always look carefully at polls commissioned by political
Naturally I wouldn't expect any polls in the next few days, so in the meantime here's a Christmas toy to play with - a nice graphical version of my swingometer. Before you click on any links, it uses Javascript and SVG, which Internet Explorer does not
here (or alternatively, just use Firefox). The orginal, non-graphical swingometer is still available here. "; } ?> />
here (or alternatively, just use Firefox). The orginal, non-graphical swingometer is still available here. "; } ?>
After the wild moves in Ipsos MORI's last two polls, which showed the Tory lead tightening to 6 points and then spiking back to 17, we've almost the mirror image from ComRes. Their last poll showed a 17 point, and tomorrow they have a new poll
There is a new ComRes poll in tomorrow's Indy. The full poll is embargoed until 10 o'clock, but the Indy's Political Editor Andrew Grice has already blogged that the Conservative lead is down to 9 points. I'll put up a full post
The full tables for MORI's poll are now available here. A notable finding there is that economic optimism has significantly dipped since the PBR, down from plus 10 last month to minus 4 now. I think this is the first poll on economic optimism since the PBR, but
After an amusing mountain of speculation, including vast amounts of twittering about the Conservative lead being down to 3 points according to "reliable sources", Ipsos MORI's monthly poll has finally turned up in the Observer. The topline figures are CON 43%(+6), LAB 26%(-5), LDEM
It's very early, but we already have the figures for tomorrow's YouGov/People poll, courtesy of their political editor Nigel Nelson's twitter feed. The topline figures, with changes from YouGov's last poll, are CON 40%(nc), LAB 28%(-3), LDEM 18%(+2)
Political Betting have a new poll by Angus Reid. The topline figures, with changes from their last poll, are CON 40%(nc), LAB 24%(+1), LDEM 20%(+1). Others are at 15%, down 3. Overall there is no significant change from their previous poll. The Conservative lead is, needless to
Interesting discussion between Don Paskini at LibCon, and John Rentoul (here, and responding to Don here). John wrote that Labour's decision to tax bankers bonuses was a further nail in the coffin of New Labour and their hard won reputation for economic competence, and that it would lose
ICM's monthly poll for the Guardian is out. The topline figures, with changes from ICM's previous poll at the beginning of the month, are CON 40%(nc), LAB 31%(+2), LDEM 18%(-1). Others are on 11%. After conflicting polls from YouGov and ComRes over the
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