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If there had been AV in 2005

Over on the BBC's website John Curtice has calculated what the results of the last 6 elections would have been had the Alternative Vote been in use. The projections are based on the British electoral studies between 1983 and 1997, and ICM polls from the 2001 and 2005

By Anthony Wells 10 Feb 2010

Populus show 10 point Tory lead

Populus's monthly poll for the Times is now out here. The topline figures, with changes from Populus's previous poll in early January, are CON 40%(-1), LAB 30%(+2), LDEM 20%(+1). The poll was conducted between the 5th and 7th of February, so after news

By Anthony Wells 08 Feb 2010

Latest TNS Scottish figures

The Herald has new Scottish voting intention figures from TNS-BMRB (the pollster formerly known as System Three). The full Holyrood constituency figures aren't in the report, but the rest of the figures appear to be. Holyrood constituency LAB 37%(+5), SNP 35%(-5) Holyrood regional CON 12%(nc)

By Anthony Wells 08 Feb 2010

ICM show 9 point Tory lead

The Sunday Telegraph tomorrow has a new ICM poll with topline figures of CON 39% (-1), LAB 30%(+1), LDEM 20%(-1). None of the changes since the last poll are significant in themselves itself - a one point change in support means nothing. However, this poll chimes very much

By Anthony Wells 06 Feb 2010

Populus poll on climate change

After the email leaking at the University of East Anglia's climate change unit there were some polls on climate change, but an annoying lack of any questions that were directly comparable to ones asked before the email leak that we could use to see if it had actually

By Anthony Wells 06 Feb 2010

Angus Reid on the Alternative Vote referendum

Angus Reid have a poll about prefences on the voting system for general elections here. 52% of people say they would like a referendum on switching to the alternative vote system, but as I've often said before, people normally say yes when asked if they'd like

By Anthony Wells 05 Feb 2010

Analysing MORI's 2009 data

Ipsos MORI have put the aggregated results of all their 2009 polling up on their website here (in fact it's been up for a week, but I haven't had chance to look at it properly!). The data is, of course, not particularly up to date (some

By Anthony Wells 02 Feb 2010

ComRes show Tory lead down to 7 points

There is a ComRes poll out tonight. The full details are embargoed until ten o'clock, but Andrew Grice has already posted that the Conservative lead is down to seven points, from points in ComRes's previous poll a week and a half ago. I'll update

By Anthony Wells 01 Feb 2010

Public support for assisted suicide

This morning there are two new polls on assisted suicide, from drawn from the YouGov/Telegraph poll, the other carried out by ComRes earlier this month for BBC Panorama tonight. ComRes found 73% of people thought that a family member or close friend should be able to assist the suicide

By Anthony Wells 01 Feb 2010

More from MORI's monthly monitor

The full results of Ipsos MORI's monthly political monitor are now up here. The voting intention figures were in the Mirror yesterday, but some of the more interesting results were instead published in the Observer today. Firstly we have the economic optimism figures. As with YouGov in the

By Anthony Wells 31 Jan 2010

BPIX questions on Blair

BPIX in the Mail on Sunday have CON 39%(-2), LAB 30%(nc), LDEM 18%(+1). The rest of their poll asked about Tony Blair and the Chilcot inquiry, it is the usual negative response: 70% of people think the war in Iraq was illegal, and 80% say they did

By Anthony Wells 31 Jan 2010

But a second YouGov poll shows no change

As well as the YouGov poll in the Telegraph this morning, there is also one in the People tomorrow. The topline figures are CON 40%, LAB 31%, LDEM 18%. I've not put any changes in the vote, since this poll would have been carried out at roughly the

By Anthony Wells 30 Jan 2010
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