TNS BMRB have released a new poll, topline figures with changes from a week ago are CON 39%(+3), LAB 31%(-1), LDEM 19%(-2). Fieldwork finished on Wednesday so is more up to date than poll earlier in the week. Since then I have some more details about the
YouGov have been dominating the polling in the pre-election period since the daily polling began, especially since the other companies still seem to be on their "peacetime footing". At some point many of them will also step up the frequency of their polling as we get closer to
ITV Wales have a new YouGov poll with Welsh voting intentions. Topline voting intention figures, with changes from January, are CON 29%(-3), LAB 37%(+2), LDEM 12%(-1), PC 14%(+1). This represents a swing of 6.6 since the last election, so while the Conservative position has narrowed
YouGov's daily voting intention figures are CON 38%(nc), LAB 32%(nc), LDEM 17%(-2). Once again the 6 point lead continues to be pretty steady, certainly the Lord Ashcroft affair does not seem to be having any great effect.
Channel 4 has a new poll of marginal seats for Channel 4 which once again suggests a slightly higher swing to the Tories in Lab/Con marginals. YouGov has polled this same group of marginal seats four times for Channel 4 over the last two years (for my posts on
The Daily YouGov poll is out and has topline figures of CON 38%(nc), LAB 32%(-1), LDEM 19%(+3). The Conservative lead remains about the six point mark where it's been for a fortnight other than the blip at the weekend. The Lib Dems are up from
The Evening Standard has London voting intention figures based on the aggregated data from the YouGov daily polling over the last week or so (I should add that the raw data is aggregated as if it were all one poll, and then collectively weighted to London targets - so it
Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 38%(-1), LAB 33%(+1), LDEM 16%(-1). None of the changes are significant, and I suspect the real picture is that we've been a lead of 6 points or so for the last week
Two new polls tonight. Firstly ComRes for the Independent have topline figures, with changes from their last poll in mid February, of CON 37%(-1), LAB 32%(+2), LDEM 19%(-1). It is ComRes's smallest Tory lead since December 2008, and is in line with the recent polls
This evening we should have the latest tracker from YouGov, and ComRes's monthly poll for the Independent. Both should be out at around ten o'clock, as should I, but if they beat me home feel free to use this thread to discuss them.
Over the last couple of week's we have three Scottish YouGov polls - two small ones based on data from the daily tracker, and one standard full sized one for Scotland on Sunday. All three showed the SNP faring badly compared to the strong levels of support they
There is a startling YouGov poll in tomorrow's Sunday Times. The topline figures, with changes from Thursday, are CON 37%(-2), LAB 35%(+2) (this is from the News of the World which doesn't have the Lib Dem figure). The 2 point lead is the smallest
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