Earlier this week people were complaining about the lack of polling for the Scottish Parliamentary elections for next year compared to the monthly Welsh polls by YouGov for ITV Wales. Well, we do now have some - Ipsos MORI have released a poll of Scottish Parliamentary voting intentions here. Topline
Sometimes voodoo polls are so blatantly idiotic it feels almost superfluous to point out they are worthless. Surely no one, no one at all, could mistake them as legitimate measures of public opinion. On one level that's probably right, but on the other hand, staying silent just encourages
ITV Wales have published their monthly YouGov poll of voting intentions for the Welsh Assembly elections next year. The topline figures, with changes from last month, are: Constitutency: CON 21%(+2), LAB 44%(nc), LDEM 9%(nc), PC 21%(nc) Regional: CON 20%(+2), LAB 41%(+1), LDEM 9%(nc)
As regular readers and watchers of polling methodology will know, one of the questions facing pollsters is what to do with people who say don't know or refuse to answer voting intention questions. A purist approach is to ignore them, to base reported figures only upon people who
ICM's monthly poll for the Guardian has topline figures of CON 36%(-3), LAB 38%(+2), LDEM 14%(-2). Changes are from ICM's last poll a month ago. It's the highest ICM have shown Labour, and the lowest they've shown the Liberal
I'm at a meeting tonight, but I'm expecting a new ICM poll along with the usual daily YouGov poll for the Sun. Feel free to use this thread to discuss them.
Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sunday Times has topline figures of CON 40%, LAB 38%, LDEM 11%. This puts the Conservatives back ahead in YouGov's poll after over a week of Labour leads or the two parties neck and neck. From what we've got,
There is a new online ComRes poll in tomorrow's Indy on Sunday. Topline figures are CON 37%(-3), LAB 38%(+4), LDEM 13%(-1), Others 12%. ComRes are currently conducting both online and telephone polls. There are significant effects from both mode and sampling, so I'm
Sunny Hundal asks a very sensible question over on Liberal Conspiracy having looked at the figures from MORI's latest political monitor and seen the massive difference filtering the poll by likelihood to vote makes. While I certainly wouldn't dispute the importance of parties getting their votes
Tonight's YouGov poll has voting intentions of CON 40%, LAB 40%, LDEM 11%. My guess is that the underlying position is still a small Labour lead, and random error on this poll has pushed it a bit in the Tory direction much as that 5 point Labour lead
On YouGov's daily poll yesterday we asked about the "Twitter Joke Trial" - the prosecution of Paul Chambers who made a flippant comment on Twitter about blowing up Robin Hood Airport after getting fustrated by its closure, and ended up being hauled before the courts and
Ipsos MORI's monthly political monitor for Reuters has been published. This is the first November poll from a company other than YouGov - all the regular polls seem to be coming in the second half of the month these days. Topline figures with changes from last month are
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