AV Referendum Referendum Question/voting intention YouGov:(1) The Conservative-Liberal Democrat government are committed to holding a referendum on changing the electoral system from first-past-the-post (FPTP) to the alternative (AV). At the moment, under first-past-the-post (FPTP), voters select ONE candidate, and the candidate with the most votes wins. It has
There is an online ComRes poll in tomorrow's Independent on Sunday. Topline figures with changes from ComRes's last online poll are CON 36%(-1), LAB 40%(+1), LDEM 10%(-1), Others 14% - a lower Labour lead than the recent ComRes phone poll that showed Labour
There will be lots of column inches wasted this morning trying to draw great conclusions from the Oldham East and Saddleworth by-election, when really by-elections don't tell us a whole lot we couldn't tell from the national polls anyway. The OES result was in the sort
Tonight's YouGov poll has topline figures of CON 41%, LAB 41%, LDEM 8%. Last night's 7 point Labour lead looked like a bit of an outlier, and this one looks like the same in the other direction. It's the first poll not to show
Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 36%, LAB 43%, LDEM 9%. This is the biggest lead YouGov have shown for Labour so far this Parliament, and comes shortly after the ComRes poll earlier this week that showed an 8 point lead and results
Yesterday's YouGov poll also had the fortnightly tracker of people's attitudes towards the cuts. It's the first time they'd been asked since the VAT rise came into effect, and show a significant drop in public support. Asked if the government's
Two new polls tonight. YouGov's daily poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 40%, LAB 43%, LDEM 8%. These are pretty much in line with YouGov's recent polls, a Labour lead of 3 points over the Conservatives, the Lib Dems on around 8-9% (YouGov
The full tables for the ICM and Populus Oldham East polls are now up here and here. As already dicussed, both have Labout 17 points ahead of the Liberal Democrats in second place. Both use their standard methodologies, with all that it implies (past-vote weighting, weighting by likelihood to vote
The full results of the YouGov/Sunday Times poll are now up here. On the regular trackers there is a further drop in Ed Miliband's approval rating, down to minus 21. Clegg (minus 30) and Cameron (zero) are pretty much unchanged. There are also further drops on the
David Wooding of the News of the World is reporting that the long-awaited Survation poll of Oldham East and Saddleworth has voting intention figures of CON 6%, LAB 31%, LDEM 30% (these figures imply a huge share for "others", but my understanding is that this is because it
Tonight there will be the usual YouGov/Sunday Times poll and there may be others I don't know about... but the polls that will be getting the attention are those on the Oldham East and Saddleworth by-election. I think there are three - Survation, Populus in the Sunday
No daily YouGov poll tonight (the poll conducted today comes out tomorrow night for the Sunday Times), but unusually for a Friday night we do have some fresh figures from Angus Reid. Topline figures with changes from last month are CON 35%(nc), LAB 40%(-1), LDEM 12%(+3). The
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