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ComRes show 8 point Labour lead

Two new polls tonight. YouGov's daily poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 40%, LAB 43%, LDEM 8%. These are pretty much in line with YouGov's recent polls, a Labour lead of 3 points over the Conservatives, the Lib Dems on around 8-9% (YouGov

By Anthony Wells 10 Jan 2011

The Oldham and Saddleworth opinion polls

The full tables for the ICM and Populus Oldham East polls are now up here and here. As already dicussed, both have Labout 17 points ahead of the Liberal Democrats in second place. Both use their standard methodologies, with all that it implies (past-vote weighting, weighting by likelihood to vote

By Anthony Wells 10 Jan 2011

More from the YouGov/Sunday Times poll

The full results of the YouGov/Sunday Times poll are now up here. On the regular trackers there is a further drop in Ed Miliband's approval rating, down to minus 21. Clegg (minus 30) and Cameron (zero) are pretty much unchanged. There are also further drops on the

By Anthony Wells 09 Jan 2011

Newcomers Survation show tighter race in OE&S

David Wooding of the News of the World is reporting that the long-awaited Survation poll of Oldham East and Saddleworth has voting intention figures of CON 6%, LAB 31%, LDEM 30% (these figures imply a huge share for "others", but my understanding is that this is because it

By Anthony Wells 08 Jan 2011

Populus and ICM show Labour ahead in Oldham East & Saddleworth

Tonight there will be the usual YouGov/Sunday Times poll and there may be others I don't know about... but the polls that will be getting the attention are those on the Oldham East and Saddleworth by-election. I think there are three - Survation, Populus in the Sunday

By Anthony Wells 08 Jan 2011

Angus Reid - 35/40/12

No daily YouGov poll tonight (the poll conducted today comes out tomorrow night for the Sunday Times), but unusually for a Friday night we do have some fresh figures from Angus Reid. Topline figures with changes from last month are CON 35%(nc), LAB 40%(-1), LDEM 12%(+3). The

By Anthony Wells 07 Jan 2011

YouGov/Sun - 39/43/7

Tonight's YouGov/Sun voting intention figures are CON 39%, LAB 43%, LDEM 7%. It's the highest Labour lead YouGov have shown since November, and the lowest Liberal Democrat score they've ever shown (the last time the Lib Dems scored lower than 7% was back

By Anthony Wells 06 Jan 2011

Lib Dem support NOT at all-time low

The headline in the Independent today is "Lib Dem support hits all-time low". This is based on a weighted average of the regular monthly polls showing Con 38%, Lab 40%, Liberal Democrats 11%, which the paper says is "its lowest level since the party was formed in

By Anthony Wells 05 Jan 2011

First YouGov/Sun poll of 2011 - 40/42/8

After a week and a half with no polling, the first YouGov poll of 2011 is out. Topline figures are CON 40%, LAB 42%, LDEM 8%. These are essentially unchanged since the start of the Christmas holidays (which shouldn't come as much surprise, after all, there are rarely

By Anthony Wells 04 Jan 2011

End of year round up - Labour

Having predicted difficult years ahead for the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats, almost by default I'm going to have to predict good things for Labour. In terms of voting intention polls and electoral victories they should have a good year, what matters is what they choose to do with

By Anthony Wells 31 Dec 2010

End of year round up - the Lib Dems

The collapse in Liberal Democrat support since the election is startling. At the general election they recorded 24% (having hit 30%+ in some campaign polls, though we will never know for sure how much of that was down to polling error). By the end of the year, most polls showed

By Anthony Wells 30 Dec 2010

End of year round up - the Conservatives

Over the next few days I'm going to be rounding up the position the three main parties find themselves in the polls at the end of 2010, and looking forward at what faces them in the year ahead, starting with the Conservatives. The Conservatives received little in the

By Anthony Wells 29 Dec 2010
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