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MORI political monitor - CON 35, LAB 37, LD 13

Reuters is reporting Ipsos MORI's monthly political monitor. Topline figures with changes from last month are CON 35%(+1), LAB 37%(-3), LDEM 13%(-2) - echoing the slightly reduced Labour lead that we've seen from YouGov's daily polls. In their monthly job approval

By Anthony Wells 15 Sep 2011

New Populus and YouGov polls

Tomorrow's Times has the start of their annual big conference poll. Topline voting intention figures are CON 34%(nc), LAB 38%(-1), LDEM 12%(+1), Others 16%. Changes are from Populus's July poll, there was no poll in August. The paper tomorrow has the first slice

By Anthony Wells 13 Sep 2011
Projected effects of the boundary change

Projected effects of the boundary change

I've now had chance to plug the English Boundary Commission's provisional recommendations into Excel and calculate some proper notional results for the proposed seats. My projection is that the provisional English boundaries would reduce the number of Conservative seats by 5, the number of Liberal Democrat

By Anthony Wells 13 Sep 2011

YouGov/Sun - CON 37, LAB 41, LDEM 10

Last night's YouGov poll had topline figures of CON 37%, LAB 41%, LDEM 10%. I'm still looking through the provisional recommendations of the boundary review. In the fullness of time I'll produce some proper analysis, lists of which seats are abolished (though the changes

By Anthony Wells 13 Sep 2011

The boundary review

The English Boundary Commission gave its recommendations to MPs at noon today, with an embargo for midnight. Unsurprisingly they did not remain secret for long! I am busy crunching the numbers and will hopefully post something more substantial tonight with my first reactions. In the next few days I will

By Anthony Wells 12 Sep 2011

911 Ten Years On

YouGov also have some polling out for the anniversary of the 9/11 attacks on the World Trade Centre. In a same way that older generations say they remember where when Kennedy was assassinated, 91% of British adults say they can remember what they were doing when news of the

By Anthony Wells 11 Sep 2011

This week's YouGov/Sunday Times poll

The full tables for the YouGov/Sunday Times poll are now up on their website here, covering the economy and taxation, planning and Libya. The public are very evenly divided on the government's economic strategy and the balance between prioritising the deficit or growth. 38% think the government

By Anthony Wells 11 Sep 2011

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 38, LAB 41, LDEM 9

This week's YouGov/Sunday Times poll has topline voting intention figures of CON 38%, LAB 41%, LDEM 9%. I'll do a full post on the other questions in the poll when the tables go up tomorrow morning. I'm not aware of any other polling

By Anthony Wells 10 Sep 2011

YouGov/Sun - CON 36%, LAB 42%, LDEM 10%

Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 36%, LAB 42%, LDEM 10%. The YouGov daily poll is still showing Labour leads between one and six points (with, at the risk of over analysing normal margin of error movement, slightly more towards the top end

By Anthony Wells 08 Sep 2011

Angus Reid - CON 33, LAB 39, LDEM 11

Angus Reid have published a new voting intention poll, carried out at the end of last week. Topline voting intentions with changes from their last poll in July are CON 33%(-1), LAB 39%(-2), LDEM 11%(+1). No obvious sign of a Conservative boost from them. Meanwhile yesterday'

By Anthony Wells 07 Sep 2011

Boundary changes preview

On Tuesday 13th the provisional recommendations of the Boundary Commission for England are due to be published (Scotland is due in October, Northern Ireland sometime this month, Wales not for a long time), the headquarters of the main political parties and members of Parliament will receive an embargoed copy of

By Anthony Wells 06 Sep 2011

New YouGov and ComRes polls

Two new voting intention polls tonight. Firstly ComRes's monthly telephone poll for the Independent has topline figures of CON 37%(+3), LAB 38%(-2), LDEM 11%(-2). Changes are from their last telephone poll a month ago, and show a shift towards the Conservatives much as YouGov'

By Anthony Wells 05 Sep 2011
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