MORI political monitor - CON 35, LAB 37, LD 13

Reuters is reporting Ipsos MORI's monthly political monitor. Topline figures with changes from last month are CON 35%(+1), LAB 37%(-3), LDEM 13%(-2) - echoing the slightly reduced Labour lead that we've seen from YouGov's daily polls. In their monthly job approval figures Ed Miliband's boost from hackgate has now also vanished - his net approval was back down to minus 17, having peaked at minus 7 in July and August.

Meanwhile yesterday's YouGov poll in the Sun had topline figures of CON 37%, LAB 41%, LDEM 10%, back in line with their recent polls and suggesting that 8 point lead on Tuesday was indeed a blip.

What would happen if the Prime Minister lost their seat?

Britain’s unwritten constitution assumes the incumbent Prime Minister gets the first chance to form a government. But what happens if that Prime Minister has been personally ejected by voters in their constituency?

Teens Think Happiness and Wellbeing More Important Than Money from a Job

According to a survey of 4,560 children aged 13 - 16, across England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland conducted by Survation for the BBC, teenagers think 'to feel good about what you do' was the most important thing about any future job. 'happiness' was second,

Latest General Election Projection: Knife Edge Coalitions

Our latest default model projection based on current national polling shows that if a general election was held today, Reform would be the biggest party on 226 seats, 100 seats short of a majority. To put Nigel Farage in Downing Street they would require a coalition with the Conservatives -

Local Elections Expectations Management

Writing in the New Statesman Ben Walker speculates that Labour could lose nearly 2,000 seats out of some 2,500 they are defending. This seems catastrophic for Labour and would see the Greens gain almost a 1,000 councillors with Reform expected to take another 1,000 from Labour

Read more

What would happen if the Prime Minister lost their seat?

Teens Think Happiness and Wellbeing More Important Than Money from a Job

Latest General Election Projection: Knife Edge Coalitions

Local Elections Expectations Management