New Populus and YouGov polls

Tomorrow's Times has the start of their annual big conference poll. Topline voting intention figures are CON 34%(nc), LAB 38%(-1), LDEM 12%(+1), Others 16%. Changes are from Populus's July poll, there was no poll in August.

The paper tomorrow has the first slice of data from Populus's annual pre-conference poll, which normally gives a good overview of party image. The Times is focusing on a rather cutting finding for Ed Miliband - 63% of people agree that it is difficult to imagine Ed Miliband as Prime Minister, including 49% of current Labour voters. The Populus conference poll normally has some good regular questions in (not least a good bank of party image questions) which I'll post on later when the tables arrive.

Meanwhile tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 35%, LAB 43%, LDEM 10%. That's the highest YouGov Labour lead for several weeks, back into the 7-9 range as opposed to the 1-6 range we've seen of late. I'll offer my usual warning not to read too much into a poll showing a change in support until it's backed up by other polling though, chances are it will turn out to be a blip.

For those who missed them earlier tonight, my post on the effects on the provisional boundary changes is here.

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