Ipsos MORI's monthly political monitor is out today, full details here. Topline voting intention figures with changes since last month are CON 34%(-1), LAB 38%(+1), LDEM 12%(-1), so no significant change on a month ago. There's an interesting finding in the questions -
Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 36%, LAB 40%, LDEM 9%, Others 15%. The four point Labour lead is very much the norm for YouGov, but worth noting is that hidden within that 15% is 7% for UKIP. YouGov have shown UKIP as
The full results of ICM's monthly Guardian poll are now up (tabs are here). Topline voting intention figures with changes from last month are CON 35%(-2), LAB 39%(+1), LDEM 13%(-1). Changes since last month are within the margin of error, but the movement is towards
The Guardian has some ICM figures on Europe out, very much in line with what we've already seen elsewhere. 70% of people would like a referendum on EU membership, asked how they would vote, 49% say they would vote to leave, 40% would stay in. The poll appears
I like to think there are three angles to understanding public opinion on issues and their impact on politics - support, salience and image - and all three are necessary to understand the issue of Europe. Support is the most basic and simple to measure level of public opinion, and
The full tabs for the YouGov/Sunday Times poll are now on their website here. On the regular trackers, David Cameron's approval rating stands at minus 7 (from minus 8 last week), Ed Miliband at minus 34 (from minus 31 a week ago, and equalling his lowest rating
Tonight's YouGov/Sunday Times poll has topline figures of CON 36%, LAB 38%, LDEM 10%, Others 16%. The two point Labour lead is not out of line with the average leads of around 4 points that YouGov have shown since the conference season ended, but it is worth
YouGov's voting intention figures last night had topline figures of CON 36%, LAB 41%, LDEM 10%. Slightly higher than the Labour leads of four points or so since conference (especially given the methodology change), but not to the extent that it couldn't be normal random variation
Meanwhile the Sun politics team have tweeted their YouGov poll for tonight, which has topline figures of CON 37%, LAB 40%, LDEM 9%. This poll was conducted on Sunday and Monday, and in contrast to the Populus poll in the Times shows no meaningful change since the Fox resignation at
Populus's monthly poll for the Times is out, with quite striking results. Topline figures with changes from their pre-conference September poll are CON 33%(-1), LAB 41%(+3), LDEM 8%(-4), Others 17%(+1). An eight point Labour lead is the highest Populus have shown since the election
NB- PLEASE SEE IMPORTANT UPDATE AT THE END OF THIS POST I have finished running notional figures for the Scottish boundary commission's initial proposals for new Parliamentary boundaries in Scotland. Unlike in England, the topline results in terms of seats lost, gained and overall partisan impact is pretty
Today's YouGov poll for the Sunday Times has topline figures of CON 39%, LAB 42%, LDEM 8%. The three point Labour lead is very much in line with the leads of four points or so that we've seen since the conference season ended, so the figures
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