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YouGov on Europe, lobbying and energy prices

The full tabs for the YouGov/Sunday Times poll are now on their website here. On the regular trackers, David Cameron's approval rating stands at minus 7 (from minus 8 last week), Ed Miliband at minus 34 (from minus 31 a week ago, and equalling his lowest rating

By Anthony Wells 23 Oct 2011

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 36, LAB 38, LD 10

Tonight's YouGov/Sunday Times poll has topline figures of CON 36%, LAB 38%, LDEM 10%, Others 16%. The two point Labour lead is not out of line with the average leads of around 4 points that YouGov have shown since the conference season ended, but it is worth

By Anthony Wells 22 Oct 2011

YouGov/Sun - CON 36, LAB 41, LD10

YouGov's voting intention figures last night had topline figures of CON 36%, LAB 41%, LDEM 10%. Slightly higher than the Labour leads of four points or so since conference (especially given the methodology change), but not to the extent that it couldn't be normal random variation

By Anthony Wells 21 Oct 2011
YouGov/Sun - CON 37, LAB 40, LDEM 9

YouGov/Sun - CON 37, LAB 40, LDEM 9

Meanwhile the Sun politics team have tweeted their YouGov poll for tonight, which has topline figures of CON 37%, LAB 40%, LDEM 9%. This poll was conducted on Sunday and Monday, and in contrast to the Populus poll in the Times shows no meaningful change since the Fox resignation at

By Anthony Wells 17 Oct 2011

Populus/Times - CON 33%, LAB 41%, LDEM 8%

Populus's monthly poll for the Times is out, with quite striking results. Topline figures with changes from their pre-conference September poll are CON 33%(-1), LAB 41%(+3), LDEM 8%(-4), Others 17%(+1). An eight point Labour lead is the highest Populus have shown since the election

By Anthony Wells 17 Oct 2011
Full notionals for Scottish provisional boundaries - UPDATE

Full notionals for Scottish provisional boundaries - UPDATE

NB- PLEASE SEE IMPORTANT UPDATE AT THE END OF THIS POST I have finished running notional figures for the Scottish boundary commission's initial proposals for new Parliamentary boundaries in Scotland. Unlike in England, the topline results in terms of seats lost, gained and overall partisan impact is pretty

By Anthony Wells 16 Oct 2011

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 39, LAB 42, LDEM 8

Today's YouGov poll for the Sunday Times has topline figures of CON 39%, LAB 42%, LDEM 8%. The three point Labour lead is very much in line with the leads of four points or so that we've seen since the conference season ended, so the figures

By Anthony Wells 16 Oct 2011

ComRes/Indy on Sunday - CON 37, LAB 39, LD 10

The monthly online ComRes poll for the Sunday Indy and Sunday Mirror has topline figures of CON 37%(-1), LAB 39%(+1), LDEM 10%(-1), Others 14%. Changes are from the last online ComRes poll in mid-September. No significant change there from conference season (or the Liam Fox kerfuffle, though

By Anthony Wells 15 Oct 2011

Provisional Scottish boundaries

Today the Scottish Boundary Commission have published their provisional recommendations for the new Westminster boundaries, available on their website here. Scotland will lose 7 MPs as part of the reduction from 650 to 600 members of Parliament. The FT have a rough and ready attempt at working out the impact

By Anthony Wells 13 Oct 2011

54% think Liam Fox should go

Tonight's YouGov/Sun poll has topline figures of CON 36%, LAB 42%, LDEM 9%. This is the first 6 point lead YouGov have shown for a week, but it well within the margin of error of the four point leads we've seen of late. This morning&

By Anthony Wells 12 Oct 2011

YouGov/Sun - CON 37, LAB 41, LDEM 8

Tonight's YouGov/Sun has topline figures of CON 37%, LAB 41%, LDEM 8%. In the last week YouGov's daily poll seems to have pretty much settled down at around a four point Labour lead, with the Conservatives at 37-38, Labour at 41-42, the Lib Dems between

By Anthony Wells 11 Oct 2011
The Tories and the women's vote

The Tories and the women's vote

The media have taken to the narrative that the Conservative party are struggling amongst women with gusto. A lot of this points, as evidence, to some analysis of aggregated MORI data from January to July for Resolution. Far less attention has been paid to this latest article by MORI themselves

By Anthony Wells 10 Oct 2011
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