YouGov/Sun - CON 36, LAB 41, LD10

YouGov's voting intention figures last night had topline figures of CON 36%, LAB 41%, LDEM 10%. Slightly higher than the Labour leads of four points or so since conference (especially given the methodology change), but not to the extent that it couldn't be normal random variation within the margin of error. Full tabs are here.

After the fall of the Gadaffi regime the government did seem to get a bit of a poll boost - though it could equally be explained through the government's response to the riots or just a few weeks without bad news (thus is the way with voting intention polls - we can make guesses as to the reasons for ups and downs based on the correlation with events, but we can never prove any of them). We'll see if the same happens with Gadaffi's death, though personally I expect any positive effect from the UK's intervention in Libya is already "factored into the price".