Opinium/Observer - CON 31, LAB 35, LD 7, UKIP 17

The fortnightly Opinium poll for the Observer is out tonight, with topline figures of CON 31%(nc), LAB 35%(nc), LDEM 7%(+1), UKIP 17%(-2), Greens 5%. Their Labour lead remains at four points.

Yesterday there was also a "new" TNS voting intention poll, as far as I can tell the first Westminster poll they've published since last November. Topline figures there are CON 29%, LAB 35%, LDEM 6%, UKIP 23%. While it was newly published, the fieldwork was actually carried out a week and a half ago (I'm not quite sure why they publish so late - with their Scottish polls I've always assumed it's something to do with the difficulties of doing face-to-face polling, but their Westminster polls are done online).

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Latest General Election Projection: Knife Edge Coalitions

Local Elections Expectations Management