Opinium Express poll - 37/30/15

There is a new Opinium poll in the Daily Express with topline figures of CON 37%(-2), LAB 30%(+2), LDEM 15%(-1). "Others" remain at a very high 18%.

Looking at the back data of Opinium, they have some rather contrarian results - last autumn their polls would have been showing the lowest Conservative leads, in the last few weeks they have been showing some of the larger Conservatives leads. They do not use any political weighting on their polls, and I suspect this contributes to a higher level of volatility.

Later on tonight we should have our usual YouGov poll in the Sun.

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