Now ComRes shows a Lib Dem boost

I'm expecting two new polls tonight, ComRes in the Sunday Indy and possibly YouGov in the Sunday Times. ComRes is the first to arrive.

The topline figures, with changes from ComRes's last poll, are CON 41%(-2), LAB 25% (-3), LDEM 22% (+6). The poll was carried out on the 11th and 12th February.

That's now the third poll in a poll showing a significant jump in Lib Dem support - the sheer size of their increase in that first ICM poll looked suspicious, but Populus and ComRes have now pretty much confirmed that there is some sort of increase in their support. It looks as though while the decline in Labour under Brown has up to now gone largely to the Conservatives, a significant chunk of support is now also going over to the Lib Dems.

As well as the increase in the Lib Dem figure, I should also note that this is the largest Conservative lead from any pollster since October, the lowest level of Labour support since September. It's also the lowest gap between Labour and the Liberal Democrats in the polls since - I think - 2003 after the Brent East by-election. Last Summer when Labour collapsed in a similar fashion in the polls I used to occassionally ponder what the political reaction would be if the Lib Dems overtook Labour, it could be a real game changer. It's starting to look possible again.

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